4-6 hours of reading time, plus $0-$25.
The you are currently facing (e.g., career change, investment, business launch) The biggest unknown factor or risk holding you back thinking in bets annie duke pdf
Duke begins by highlighting the pitfalls of thinking in certainties, which she argues is a pervasive and problematic mindset that can lead to poor decision-making. When we think in certainties, we tend to see the world in binary terms, as either/or outcomes, rather than probabilities. This can lead to overconfidence, confirmation bias, and a failure to consider alternative perspectives. Duke contends that this type of thinking is particularly problematic in situations where uncertainty is high, and the stakes are significant. 4-6 hours of reading time, plus $0-$25
Derived from poker vernacular, “resulting” means judging a decision’s quality by its outcome. If you play a bad hand and win, you’re still a bad player. If you play a perfect hand and lose, your decision was still correct. But our brains conflate outcome with process. This can lead to overconfidence, confirmation bias, and